Tesla (TSLA) Signals-Weekly

These Tesla (TSLA) signals would have performed around 36.7 times better than buy-hold with an ROI of 54,010% for the period 28-Jun-10 to 21-Sep-18

TSLA Signals Weekly

The trading signals for Tesla (TSLA) were selected for their reward/risk, longevity and parameter sensitivity characteristics. Backtests don't always generate reliable signals which can be counted on moving forward but many traders find value in knowing what buy and sell signals would have worked well in the past.

Returns for the Tesla (TSLA) signals

For the 430 week (8.2 year) period from Jun 28 2010 to Sep 21 2018, these signals for Tesla (TSLA) traded both long and short would have yielded $5,400,966 in profits from a $10,000 initial investment, an annualized return of 115.0%. Traded long only (no short selling) the signals would have returned $1,231,823, an annualized return of 79.8%. 62.6% of time was spent holding stock long. The return would have been $147,095 (an annualized return of 39.8%) if you had bought and held the stock for the same period.

Signals and Trades

Not all signals are acted upon and signals are often reinforced in this type of strategy. If you are long in the security, buy signals are not acted on, for example. Similarly if you are short you must ignore sell signals. There were 375 buy signals and 275 sell signals for this particular TSLA strategy .These led to 142 round trip long trades of which 84 were profitable, and 143 short trades of which 83 were profitable. This is a weekly strategy; weekly OHLC data is used to derive all signals and there is at most one buy and sell signal and one trade per week.

Drawdown and Reward/Risk

Drawdown (the worst case loss for an single entry and exit into the strategy) was 37% for long-short and 32% for long only. This compares to 44% for buy-hold. The reward/risk for trading long and short was 2.71 compared to 0.82 for buy-hold, a factor of 3.3 improvement. If traded long only, the reward/risk was 2.13. We use drawdown plus 5% as our risk metric, and annualized return as the reward metric.

The backtests assume a commission per trade of $7.

Click here to see the list of Trades

Week of signal Buy or Sell Price L&S Value Next Open
6/28/2010 Sell 19.00 10,000
7/5/2010 Buy 17.95 10,539
7/12/2010 Sell 21.37 12,533
7/19/2010 Buy 21.50 12,442
7/26/2010 Sell 20.50 11,850
8/2/2010 Buy 19.90 12,182
8/9/2010 Sell 18.45 11,281
8/16/2010 Buy 19.09 10,875
8/23/2010 Sell 19.70 11,209
8/30/2010 Buy 20.61 10,677
9/6/2010 Sell 20.89 10,808
9/13/2010 Buy 20.67 10,908
9/20/2010 Sell 20.40 10,752
9/27/2010 Buy 20.43 10,722
10/4/2010 Sell 20.44 10,713
10/11/2010 Buy 20.52 10,657
10/18/2010 Sell 20.94 10,861
10/25/2010 Buy 21.94 10,329
12/13/2010 Sell 31.64 14,881
12/20/2010 Buy 28.02 16,569
12/27/2010 Sell 26.84 15,858
1/3/2011 Buy 28.17 15,058
1/10/2011 Sell 25.48 13,606
1/17/2011 Buy 23.53 14,633
1/24/2011 Sell 24.05 14,943
1/31/2011 Buy 23.26 15,420
2/7/2011 Sell 23.64 15,657
2/14/2011 Buy 22.88 16,147
2/21/2011 Sell 23.74 16,740
3/7/2011 Buy 23.82 16,669
3/14/2011 Sell 23.05 16,116
3/21/2011 Buy 22.70 16,347
3/28/2011 Sell 26.83 19,307
4/4/2011 Buy 26.47 19,552
4/11/2011 Sell 25.13 18,549
4/18/2011 Buy 26.70 17,376
5/16/2011 Sell 27.62 17,960
5/23/2011 Buy 29.69 16,600
6/6/2011 Sell 28.07 15,681
6/13/2011 Buy 26.29 16,661
6/20/2011 Sell 27.73 17,560
7/4/2011 Buy 28.40 17,121
7/11/2011 Sell 27.34 16,468
7/18/2011 Buy 29.01 15,448
7/25/2011 Sell 28.67 15,253
8/1/2011 Buy 23.10 18,203
8/8/2011 Sell 26.62 20,962
8/15/2011 Buy 23.11 23,712
8/22/2011 Sell 24.22 24,837
8/29/2011 Buy 22.50 26,587
9/5/2011 Sell 22.50 26,573
9/12/2011 Buy 24.95 23,666
9/19/2011 Sell 26.52 25,141
9/26/2011 Buy 24.95 26,615
10/3/2011 Sell 27.31 29,119
10/17/2011 Buy 27.87 28,508
12/5/2011 Sell 30.44 31,122
12/12/2011 Buy 28.09 33,511
12/19/2011 Sell 27.66 32,984
12/26/2011 Buy 28.94 31,444
1/2/2012 Sell 27.00 29,322
1/9/2012 Buy 26.62 29,721
1/16/2012 Sell 26.81 29,919
1/23/2012 Buy 29.49 26,914
4/9/2012 Sell 33.41 30,478
4/16/2012 Buy 32.86 30,965
4/23/2012 Sell 33.27 31,338
4/30/2012 Buy 31.96 32,558
5/7/2012 Sell 31.92 32,503
5/14/2012 Buy 27.58 36,908
5/21/2012 Sell 30.01 40,146
5/28/2012 Buy 28.03 42,781
6/4/2012 Sell 30.31 46,246
6/11/2012 Buy 29.94 46,797
6/18/2012 Sell 33.94 53,035
6/25/2012 Buy 31.35 57,068
7/2/2012 Sell 30.94 56,308
7/9/2012 Buy 34.32 50,143
7/16/2012 Sell 31.05 45,351
7/23/2012 Buy 29.51 47,586
7/30/2012 Sell 27.55 44,412
8/6/2012 Buy 29.69 40,948
8/13/2012 Sell 30.15 41,568
8/20/2012 Buy 29.57 42,354
8/27/2012 Sell 28.52 40,836
9/3/2012 Buy 29.20 39,848
9/10/2012 Sell 32.35 44,133
9/24/2012 Buy 29.50 48,007
10/1/2012 Sell 28.86 46,952
10/8/2012 Buy 28.02 48,304
10/15/2012 Sell 27.99 48,239
10/22/2012 Buy 27.70 48,724
10/29/2012 Sell 29.80 52,404
11/12/2012 Buy 32.07 48,398
1/7/2013 Sell 33.08 49,909
1/14/2013 Buy 34.56 47,662
2/18/2013 Sell 36.15 49,841
2/25/2013 Buy 34.77 51,729
3/4/2013 Sell 38.87 57,815
3/11/2013 Buy 35.30 63,111
3/18/2013 Sell 37.10 66,315
4/8/2013 Buy 43.50 54,861
10/7/2013 Sell 175.00 220,692
10/14/2013 Buy 183.28 210,236
10/21/2013 Sell 170.18 195,196
10/28/2013 Buy 165.00 201,123
11/4/2013 Sell 141.00 171,855
11/11/2013 Buy 135.27 178,825
11/18/2013 Sell 124.50 164,573
11/25/2013 Buy 126.35 162,114
12/2/2013 Sell 137.00 175,764
12/9/2013 Buy 148.48 161,022
12/16/2013 Sell 144.85 157,071
12/23/2013 Buy 151.12 150,258
12/30/2013 Sell 150.00 149,131
1/6/2014 Buy 145.78 153,312
1/13/2014 Sell 171.24 180,074
1/27/2014 Buy 182.89 167,809
3/24/2014 Sell 216.50 198,633
3/31/2014 Buy 205.81 208,427
4/7/2014 Sell 207.60 210,226
4/14/2014 Buy 197.08 220,865
4/21/2014 Sell 200.00 224,123
4/28/2014 Buy 209.48 213,486
5/5/2014 Sell 183.87 187,372
5/12/2014 Buy 190.72 180,377
5/19/2014 Sell 208.52 197,198
6/2/2014 Buy 207.95 197,723
6/9/2014 Sell 206.76 196,578
6/16/2014 Buy 229.51 174,934
7/7/2014 Sell 219.99 167,664
7/14/2014 Buy 217.25 169,738
7/21/2014 Sell 224.25 175,193
7/28/2014 Buy 234.38 167,265
9/15/2014 Sell 255.00 181,967
9/22/2014 Buy 244.00 189,802
9/29/2014 Sell 259.13 201,558
10/6/2014 Buy 238.57 217,536
10/13/2014 Sell 226.72 206,717
10/20/2014 Buy 234.25 199,837
10/27/2014 Sell 243.00 207,287
11/3/2014 Buy 239.11 210,592
11/10/2014 Sell 257.49 226,766
11/17/2014 Buy 245.20 237,575
11/24/2014 Sell 241.16 233,647
12/1/2014 Buy 221.54 252,641
12/8/2014 Sell 209.29 238,658
12/15/2014 Buy 220.00 226,431
12/22/2014 Sell 226.90 233,519
12/29/2014 Buy 214.55 246,215
1/5/2015 Sell 203.05 233,004
1/12/2015 Buy 193.87 243,524
1/19/2015 Sell 201.83 253,509
1/26/2015 Buy 203.97 250,807
2/2/2015 Sell 215.38 264,823
2/9/2015 Buy 205.70 276,711
2/16/2015 Sell 215.66 290,095
2/23/2015 Buy 202.70 307,514
3/2/2015 Sell 194.39 294,893
3/9/2015 Buy 192.00 298,505
3/16/2015 Sell 198.50 308,597
3/23/2015 Buy 185.85 328,249
3/30/2015 Sell 198.00 349,694
4/13/2015 Buy 206.78 334,173
7/27/2015 Sell 266.29 430,333
8/3/2015 Buy 238.15 475,794
8/10/2015 Sell 255.56 510,563
8/17/2015 Buy 202.79 615,974
8/24/2015 Sell 245.62 746,055
9/7/2015 Buy 251.10 729,396
9/14/2015 Sell 263.98 766,796
9/21/2015 Buy 257.35 786,041
9/28/2015 Sell 248.84 760,034
10/5/2015 Buy 222.99 838,974
10/12/2015 Sell 226.50 852,166
10/19/2015 Buy 211.38 909,038
10/26/2015 Sell 208.92 898,445
11/2/2015 Buy 232.99 794,920
11/9/2015 Sell 206.09 703,128
11/16/2015 Buy 217.35 664,697
11/23/2015 Sell 231.79 708,843
12/7/2015 Buy 217.51 752,500
12/14/2015 Sell 231.69 801,543
12/21/2015 Buy 231.49 802,221
12/28/2015 Sell 230.72 799,538
1/4/2016 Buy 214.01 857,431
1/11/2016 Sell 208.71 836,183
1/18/2016 Buy 200.06 870,825
1/25/2016 Sell 188.76 821,624
2/1/2016 Buy 157.10 959,417
2/8/2016 Sell 158.70 969,175
2/15/2016 Buy 170.12 899,419
2/22/2016 Sell 192.40 1,017,199
2/29/2016 Buy 197.68 989,270
5/2/2016 Sell 215.72 1,079,536
5/9/2016 Buy 208.15 1,117,404
5/16/2016 Sell 219.87 1,180,306
5/23/2016 Buy 223.04 1,163,275
5/30/2016 Sell 218.00 1,136,975
6/6/2016 Buy 219.50 1,129,138
6/13/2016 Sell 219.50 1,129,124
6/20/2016 Buy 190.86 1,276,436
6/27/2016 Sell 209.73 1,402,621
7/18/2016 Buy 222.27 1,318,743
8/1/2016 Sell 228.00 1,352,725
8/8/2016 Buy 226.02 1,364,458
8/15/2016 Sell 224.17 1,353,276
8/22/2016 Buy 220.15 1,377,530
8/29/2016 Sell 199.02 1,245,301
9/5/2016 Buy 195.00 1,270,441
9/12/2016 Sell 207.00 1,348,608
9/19/2016 Buy 206.50 1,351,851
9/26/2016 Sell 212.30 1,389,807
10/3/2016 Buy 201.35 1,461,476
10/10/2016 Sell 197.05 1,430,251
10/17/2016 Buy 201.00 1,401,567
10/24/2016 Sell 202.49 1,411,942
10/31/2016 Buy 193.59 1,473,987
11/7/2016 Sell 188.00 1,431,411
11/14/2016 Buy 185.04 1,453,934
11/21/2016 Sell 195.48 1,535,952
11/28/2016 Buy 182.51 1,637,847
12/5/2016 Sell 192.80 1,730,176
12/12/2016 Buy 202.49 1,643,205
2/27/2017 Sell 247.91 2,011,774
3/6/2017 Buy 244.82 2,036,835
3/13/2017 Sell 260.60 2,168,106
3/20/2017 Buy 260.60 2,168,092
7/3/2017 Sell 312.90 2,603,194
7/10/2017 Buy 325.54 2,498,020
7/17/2017 Sell 330.24 2,534,071
7/24/2017 Buy 335.50 2,493,695
7/31/2017 Sell 357.35 2,656,087
8/14/2017 Buy 345.82 2,741,773
8/21/2017 Sell 347.28 2,753,334
8/28/2017 Buy 353.80 2,701,628
9/5/2017 Sell 351.35 2,682,905
9/11/2017 Buy 380.25 2,462,211
9/18/2017 Sell 353.15 2,286,718
9/25/2017 Buy 342.52 2,355,536
10/2/2017 Sell 349.65 2,404,555
10/9/2017 Buy 353.76 2,376,276
10/16/2017 Sell 349.88 2,350,200
10/23/2017 Buy 319.18 2,556,403
10/30/2017 Sell 307.00 2,458,836
11/6/2017 Buy 300.13 2,513,845
11/13/2017 Sell 313.79 2,628,245
11/20/2017 Buy 313.25 2,632,754
11/27/2017 Sell 306.50 2,576,009
12/4/2017 Buy 314.63 2,507,665
12/11/2017 Sell 344.90 2,748,909
12/18/2017 Buy 323.83 2,916,827
12/26/2017 Sell 312.00 2,810,257
1/2/2018 Buy 316.00 2,774,214
1/8/2018 Sell 337.54 2,963,303
1/16/2018 Buy 349.40 2,859,169
2/5/2018 Sell 316.13 2,586,904
2/12/2018 Buy 334.47 2,436,813
2/20/2018 Sell 353.50 2,575,444
2/26/2018 Buy 332.39 2,729,228
3/5/2018 Sell 328.61 2,698,176
3/12/2018 Buy 316.50 2,797,596
3/19/2018 Sell 307.34 2,716,615
3/26/2018 Buy 256.26 3,168,103
4/2/2018 Sell 300.37 3,713,414
4/16/2018 Buy 291.29 3,825,654
4/23/2018 Sell 293.61 3,856,110
4/30/2018 Buy 297.50 3,805,006
5/7/2018 Sell 303.32 3,879,430
5/14/2018 Buy 281.33 4,160,666
5/21/2018 Sell 278.51 4,118,946
5/29/2018 Buy 294.34 3,884,819
6/4/2018 Sell 322.51 4,256,605
6/18/2018 Buy 330.12 4,156,151
7/2/2018 Sell 311.99 3,927,884
7/9/2018 Buy 311.71 3,931,395
7/16/2018 Sell 301.84 3,806,897
7/23/2018 Buy 295.90 3,881,800
7/30/2018 Sell 345.46 4,531,945
8/13/2018 Buy 291.70 5,237,186
8/20/2018 Sell 318.00 5,709,362
8/27/2018 Buy 296.94 6,087,458
9/4/2018 Sell 273.26 5,601,990
9/10/2018 Buy 290.04 5,257,976
9/17/2018 Sell 298.48 5,410,966

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