This update covers 26 strategies published 2/10/15 through 9/18/15. For the analysis we measure the results of investing $10K in each strategy on the day of publication. 17 of the strategies made a loss over the entire period, however 5 of these were strategies that broke down after showing a profit.

**Overall Results vs Hold**

Total return on all the strategies as of Oct 2016 ($10K starting capital) was $4600 or 1.8% of capital. This compares with a loss of $10,740 (-4.1% return) for buy-hold (or a gain of $10,740 for short-hold).

**Successful Strategies**

9 strategies ended the period with a profit, (BRK,GOOGL,TSLA,TQQQ,DUST,AAPL,PANW,MU,LRN). The combined profit was $36,280 or 40.3% of capital. We will continue to track these strategies.

**Partially Successful Strategies**

5 strategies (TQQQ,UWTI,NUGT,GILD,MSFT) made at least a 10% profit for a period (typically 100 days) then went on to make a loss over the entire period. Combined opportunity for profit was $28,377 (56%), final loss was $16,766 (33.5%), $10,000 of which was due to UWTI. These strategies will no longer be tracked.

**Failed Strategies**

There were 12 failed strategies (DIS,GLD,GLD,AAPL,TNA,TNA,FAS,IBM,GOOGL,SPY,WMT,MSFT) losing a combined $14,914 or 12.4%. Losses ranged between $109 through to $3786 for GOOGL. These strategies will no longer be tracked.

**Best profits and worst losses**

If a single exit for each strategy was timed perfectly, the best case profit for the strategies would have been $92,407 (35.5%). Worst case loss for the strategies was $73,490 (28.3%). Best case gain or loss for buy-hold/short-hold was $115,319--achieving this would have required correctly picking long or short and exiting each at the optimum time.

**Strategies vs. 50 day MA crossover strategy**

Strategies are sometimes compared with the results of a benchmark SMA crossover algorithm which buys when the price goes above a SMA and sells when the price crosses below an SMA. We compared the strategies with the performance of SignalSolver algorithm AMC 0% BMC 0% using 50 day, 10 week or 3 month (H+L)/2 averaging. AMC BMC gave a loss of $73,490, compared with a gain of $4600 for the strategies presented here. 16 strategies beat the SMA crossover strategy.

Spreadsheet:

summary-spreadsheet-oct-25-2016